Kongsvinger 3-2 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.39
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.39 — our 27% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.9pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.13/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.83
+3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Mjondalen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-3 HT 1-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
16.04.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-0 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
31.07.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-1 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
04.04.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
26.06.2019 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-3 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOK
02.10.2018 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kongsvinger
3-2
AWAY Mjondalen
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger squeezed past Mjondalen 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kongsvinger as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kongsvinger had 40% of the ball to Mjondalen's 60%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kongsvinger and 1.50 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Mjondalen?

Kongsvinger 3-2 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 48%, draw 25%, Mjondalen 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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