Asane 1-5 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.66
2-3 Goals
45%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asane EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.36/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+0% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asane
1-5
AWAY Valerenga
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Asane vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga cruised past Asane 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Asane had 44% of the ball to Valerenga's 56%, shots finished 11-20.

What was the final score of Asane vs Valerenga?

Asane 1-5 Valerenga in the Norway - 1st Division on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asane vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Asane 28%, draw 29%, Valerenga 43%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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