Morecambe 1-3 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 2 Sep 2025

Morecambe
1-3 HT 1-2
Forest Green Rovers
📅02/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Morecambe vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
62%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 29% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
10.6
1/2
9%
20.3
1/X
8%
19.05
X/1
6%
13.15
X/2
25%
3.91
X/X
6%
6.71
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.71
2/X
4%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+3.7pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.6pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Morecambe v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morecambe EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -13%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
114 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 89%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Morecambe vs Forest Green Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morecambe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.05
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
237 Passes 338
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
11.02.2023 Morecambe Morecambe 1-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN1
17.09.2022 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 1-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN1
09.03.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
24.10.2020 Morecambe Morecambe 1-2 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
22.10.2019 Morecambe Morecambe 0-2 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2

Morecambe 1-3 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morecambe
1-3
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Morecambe vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers saw off Morecambe 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Morecambe had 42% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 58%, shots finished 6-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Morecambe and 1.50 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Morecambe vs Forest Green Rovers?

Morecambe 1-3 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 02/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 19%, draw 19%, Forest Green Rovers 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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