Wealdstone 3-2 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 2 Sep 2025

📅02/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
54%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
7%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.5
1/2
6%
23.65
1/X
4%
15.05
X/1
9%
8.21
X/2
20%
4.28
X/X
12%
4.83
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.41
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 56%
+4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -8%
1.12/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.08
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Southend United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
0 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Southend United Southend United 3-0 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
24.09.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
09.04.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-2 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
05.03.2024 Southend United Southend United 1-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
29.04.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
24.09.2022 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
3-2
AWAY Southend United
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone nicked a narrow win over Southend United 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Southend United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wealdstone had 53% of the ball to Southend United's 47%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wealdstone and 1.67 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Southend United?

Wealdstone 3-2 Southend United in the England - National League on 02/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 21%, draw 25%, Southend United 54%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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