Wealdstone 1-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Sep 2024

Wealdstone
1-1 HT 0-0
Southend United
📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Wealdstone vs Southend United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.86
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
8%
6.74
X/2
14%
4.66
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.91
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wealdstone v Southend United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -22%
1.45/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.09
+12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Wealdstone vs Southend United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Southend United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.04.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-2 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
05.03.2024 Southend United Southend United 1-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
29.04.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
24.09.2022 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
15.04.2022 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
30.08.2021 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL

Wealdstone 1-1 Southend United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
1-1
AWAY Southend United
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
1 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone and Southend United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Southend United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wealdstone had 44% of the ball to Southend United's 56%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wealdstone and 1.00 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Southend United?

Wealdstone 1-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 31%, draw 27%, Southend United 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southend United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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