Southend United 1-1 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
19.4
X/1
12%
3.5
X/2
9%
14.95
X/X
9%
6.56
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
8%
12.0
2/X
5%
20.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.4pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 17%
-14% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.65/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.75
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
377 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Wealdstone
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
24.09.2022 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
15.04.2022 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
30.08.2021 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
1-1
AWAY Wealdstone
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United and Wealdstone shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Southend United carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Southend United had 58% of the ball to Wealdstone's 42%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Southend United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Southend United and 0.50 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Wealdstone?

Southend United 1-1 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Southend United 56%, draw 21%, Wealdstone 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southend United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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