Gateshead 2-3 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Mar 2024

Gateshead
2-3 HT 1-2
Solihull Moors
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Gateshead vs Solihull Moors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
7.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.31
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
11%
4.49
X/2
9%
8.83
X/X
7%
5.61
2/1
6%
21.25
2/2
10%
5.94
2/X
9%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gateshead v Solihull Moors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +21%
1.64/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.72
+0% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Gateshead vs Solihull Moors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Solihull Moors
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.11.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-2 HT 0-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
04.02.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-2 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
29.10.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 1-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
12.03.2019 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-0 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
08.01.2019 Gateshead Gateshead 1-2 HT 0-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
13.03.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 2-2 HT 0-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL

Gateshead 2-3 Solihull Moors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
2-3
AWAY Solihull Moors
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Solihull Moors nicked a narrow win over Gateshead 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Gateshead had 65% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 35%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gateshead and 1.17 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Solihull Moors?

Gateshead 2-3 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 47%, draw 26%, Solihull Moors 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gateshead) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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