Barnet 2-0 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Mar 2024

Barnet
2-0 HT 1-0
Rochdale
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Barnet vs Rochdale Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
20%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.02
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
19%
4.14
X/2
7%
10.7
X/X
10%
5.83
2/1
8%
21.2
2/2
9%
7.54
2/X
10%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barnet v Rochdale — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.79/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.98
+2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
332 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9

Barnet vs Rochdale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rochdale
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 4-2 HT 2-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
23.02.2013 Barnet Barnet 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
01.09.2012 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İN2
08.05.2010 Barnet Barnet 1-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
10.10.2009 Rochdale Rochdale 2-1 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İN2
03.03.2009 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 1-1 Rochdale Rochdale İN2

Barnet 2-0 Rochdale — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
2-0
AWAY Rochdale
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet saw off Rochdale 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Barnet had 56% of the ball to Rochdale's 44%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rochdale led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barnet and 1.50 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Rochdale?

Barnet 2-0 Rochdale in the England - National League on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Barnet 52%, draw 26%, Rochdale 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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