Hartlepool United 0-3 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.12
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
11%
13.65
X/1
14%
5.78
X/2
12%
5.06
X/X
7%
4.53
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
20%
3.42
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.18/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.87
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rochdale
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
248 Passes 312
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 1-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
28.10.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-3 HT 1-3 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
21.01.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
26.12.2022 Rochdale Rochdale 1-2 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
18.04.2022 Rochdale Rochdale 2-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
08.12.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
0-3
AWAY Rochdale
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Passes 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale swept aside Hartlepool United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Rochdale made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 47% of the ball to Rochdale's 53%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.33 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Rochdale?

Hartlepool United 0-3 Rochdale in the England - National League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 35%, draw 27%, Rochdale 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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