AFC Fylde 1-2 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
11%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.05
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
13%
4.9
X/2
11%
6.4
X/X
12%
4.87
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
12%
4.43
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.56/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.77
+3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +84%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tamworth
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
07.10.2014 Tamworth Tamworth 0-3 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
1-2
AWAY Tamworth
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
0 Passes 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth nicked a narrow win over AFC Fylde 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Fylde at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 61% of the ball to Tamworth's 39%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Tamworth?

AFC Fylde 1-2 Tamworth in the England - National League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 44%, draw 27%, Tamworth 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde)
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