Maidenhead United 2-1 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Sep 2024

Maidenhead United
2-1 HT 1-0
Ebbsfleet United
📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Maidenhead United vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
8%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.05
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.06
X/2
11%
6.58
X/X
17%
4.85
2/1
10%
24.85
2/2
14%
4.42
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidenhead United v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.26/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.63
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Maidenhead United vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.01.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
21.11.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
25.02.2020 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-3 HT 1-3 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
12.10.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HT 1-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
12.03.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
27.11.2018 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL

Maidenhead United 2-1 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
2-1
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
0 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United nicked a narrow win over Ebbsfleet United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Maidenhead United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 45% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 55%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Maidenhead United and 1.67 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Maidenhead United 2-1 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 40%, draw 30%, Ebbsfleet United 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidenhead United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
24 Sep 2024
21:45 Hartlepool United vs Rochdale Analysis →
21:45 Sutton United vs Yeovil Analysis →
21:45 AFC Fylde vs Tamworth Analysis →
21:45 Braintree Town vs Halifax Town Analysis →
21:45 Altrincham vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →
21:45 Solihull Moors vs York City Analysis →