Maidenhead United 0-1 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Jan 2024

Maidenhead United
0-1 HT 0-0
Ebbsfleet United
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - National League – 2023/2024

Maidenhead United vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.13
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
15%
4.8
X/2
11%
6.42
X/X
13%
4.25
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.72
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidenhead United v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.24/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.82
-15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Maidenhead United vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
21.11.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
25.02.2020 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-3 HT 1-3 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
12.10.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HT 1-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
12.03.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
27.11.2018 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
24.03.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL

Maidenhead United 0-1 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
0-1
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United edged past Maidenhead United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Maidenhead United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 45% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 55%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maidenhead United and 1.67 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Maidenhead United 0-1 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 42%, draw 26%, Ebbsfleet United 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Maidenhead United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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