Hartlepool United 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Jan 2024

Hartlepool United
0-1 HT 0-0
Kidderminster Harriers
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - National League – 2023/2024

Hartlepool United vs Kidderminster Harriers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.85
6+ Goals
8%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.36
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.2
X/1
15%
4.98
X/2
11%
5.92
X/X
9%
4.3
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.3
2/X
8%
13.4
Value flag · 1/X at 13.2 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartlepool United v Kidderminster Harriers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.37/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.49
-5% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Hartlepool United vs Kidderminster Harriers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.11.2023 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 1-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
05.04.2003 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 2-2 HT 2-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
30.11.2002 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 2-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İN2
02.03.2002 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 3-2 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
22.09.2001 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İN2
28.04.2001 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2

Hartlepool United 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
0-1
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers squeezed past Hartlepool United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Kidderminster Harriers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 56% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 44%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.33 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Hartlepool United 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - National League on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 37%, draw 28%, Kidderminster Harriers 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hartlepool United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5
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