Aldershot Town 1-1 Bromley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.51
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.13
1/2
7%
22.6
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
10%
6.45
X/2
13%
5.0
X/X
11%
5.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
28.0
2/2
18%
2.91
2/X
9%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 6% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.7pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromley EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.38/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.16
+0% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bromley
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Bromley Bromley 2-3 HT 2-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
21.01.2023 Bromley Bromley 2-2 HT 1-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
20.08.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Bromley Bromley İBSL
26.04.2022 Bromley Bromley 1-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
15.01.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Bromley Bromley FAK
23.10.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-3 HT 2-2 Bromley Bromley İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
1-1
AWAY Bromley
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Bromley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town and Bromley couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 55% of the ball to Bromley's 45%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bromley led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.83 for Bromley.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Bromley?

Aldershot Town 1-1 Bromley in the England - National League on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Bromley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bromley win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 34%, draw 29%, Bromley 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bromley), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bromley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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