Oxford City 1-2 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
8%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 32% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.88
1/2
5%
24.3
1/X
4%
13.05
X/1
6%
7.0
X/2
15%
4.73
X/X
15%
4.79
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
19%
2.81
2/X
9%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 49%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
1.16/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.57
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY York City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.11.2023 York City York City 2-0 HT 2-0 Oxford City Oxford City İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
1-2
AWAY York City
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City squeezed past Oxford City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; York City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Oxford City had 48% of the ball to York City's 52%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs York City?

Oxford City 1-2 York City in the England - National League on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 33%, draw 27%, York City 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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