Wealdstone 1-2 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.29
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
13%
8.58
X/2
15%
4.14
X/X
18%
5.43
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.31
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.3pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 57%
+12% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.40/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.18
+10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
194 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Southend United
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 Southend United Southend United 1-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
29.04.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
24.09.2022 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
15.04.2022 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
30.08.2021 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
1-2
AWAY Southend United
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United squeezed past Wealdstone 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wealdstone had 44% of the ball to Southend United's 56%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Wealdstone and 0.80 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Southend United?

Wealdstone 1-2 Southend United in the England - National League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 28%, draw 30%, Southend United 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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