Maidenhead United 3-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Apr 2024

Maidenhead United
3-1 HT 1-0
Hartlepool United
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Maidenhead United vs Hartlepool United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.05
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.78
X/2
8%
6.4
X/X
12%
4.7
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.58
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidenhead United v Hartlepool United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.36/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.52
-13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 62%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Maidenhead United vs Hartlepool United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hartlepool United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.08.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-1 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
08.05.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-4 HT 1-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
10.10.2020 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-4 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
10.08.2019 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
08.12.2018 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
18.08.2018 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL

Maidenhead United 3-1 Hartlepool United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
3-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United got the better of Hartlepool United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maidenhead United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 47% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 53%, shots finished 20-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maidenhead United and 2.17 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Hartlepool United?

Maidenhead United 3-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 45%, draw 26%, Hartlepool United 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidenhead United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Under 2.5
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