Barnet 1-1 Bromley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 28% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.73
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
19%
4.69
X/2
8%
7.12
X/X
10%
5.23
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
12%
4.87
2/X
10%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromley EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.90/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.24
+23% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bromley
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Bromley Bromley 2-0 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet FAK
12.08.2023 Bromley Bromley 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
07.04.2023 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 1-0 Bromley Bromley İBSL
25.10.2022 Bromley Bromley 1-3 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
15.05.2022 Barnet Barnet 2-4 HT 1-1 Bromley Bromley İBSL
18.09.2021 Bromley Bromley 2-0 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
1-1
AWAY Bromley
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Bromley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet and Bromley shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Barnet at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Barnet had 53% of the ball to Bromley's 47%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bromley led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barnet and 1.67 for Bromley.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Bromley?

Barnet 1-1 Bromley in the England - National League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Bromley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Barnet 44%, draw 29%, Bromley 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barnet), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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