Southend United 3-0 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 28% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.09
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
15%
4.26
X/2
11%
10.3
X/X
9%
5.74
2/1
13%
21.8
2/2
10%
8.01
2/X
8%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.58/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.83
-10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
130 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 90 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Wealdstone
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
09.04.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-2 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
05.03.2024 Southend United Southend United 1-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
29.04.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
24.09.2022 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
15.04.2022 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
3-0
AWAY Wealdstone
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
2 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United cruised past Wealdstone 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Southend United had 57% of the ball to Wealdstone's 43%, shots finished 20-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Southend United and 0.83 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Wealdstone?

Southend United 3-0 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Southend United 48%, draw 26%, Wealdstone 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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