Forest Green Rovers 1-0 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Apr 2025

Forest Green Rovers
1-0 HT 1-0
Oldham Athletic
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Forest Green Rovers vs Oldham Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.94
6+ Goals
7%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 35% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.8
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
5.07
X/2
10%
6.16
X/X
10%
4.39
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.58
2/X
10%
14.2
Value flag · X/1 at 5.07 — our 23% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Oldham Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.38/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.02
-4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
156 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 137 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Forest Green Rovers vs Oldham Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.40 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
179 Passes 229
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2024 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
18.04.2022 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
11.12.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 5-5 HT 1-3 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
08.05.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-3 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
16.02.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 4-3 HT 2-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
02.01.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2

Forest Green Rovers 1-0 Oldham Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
1-0
AWAY Oldham Athletic
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
1 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers nicked a narrow win over Oldham Athletic 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Forest Green Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 47% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 53%, shots finished 11-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.67 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Oldham Athletic?

Forest Green Rovers 1-0 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 40%, draw 30%, Oldham Athletic 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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