Oldham Athletic 1-0 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Sep 2024

Oldham Athletic
1-0 HT 1-0
Forest Green Rovers
📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Oldham Athletic vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 34% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.66
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
10%
5.28
X/2
15%
5.63
X/X
13%
4.24
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
15%
4.0
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oldham Athletic v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
1.48/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.08
+3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Oldham Athletic vs Forest Green Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.90 xG 2.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
264 Passes 265
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.04.2022 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
11.12.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 5-5 HT 1-3 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
08.05.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-3 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
16.02.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 4-3 HT 2-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
02.01.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
15.02.2020 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2

Oldham Athletic 1-0 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
1-0
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 10
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic nicked a narrow win over Forest Green Rovers 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Oldham Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 43% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 57%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oldham Athletic and 2.67 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Forest Green Rovers?

Oldham Athletic 1-0 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 35%, draw 28%, Forest Green Rovers 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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