Yeovil 1-2 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Apr 2025

Yeovil
1-2 HT 1-0
Sutton United
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Yeovil vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.95
No
62%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
24.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 39% vs market 33.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.64
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
13%
5.19
X/2
15%
6.03
X/X
16%
3.95
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
15%
4.58
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.8pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yeovil v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
0.90/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.31
-38% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
270 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 65%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Yeovil vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Sutton United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
09.03.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
27.10.2020 Yeovil Yeovil 1-2 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
28.12.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 3-2 HT 2-2 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
03.09.2019 Yeovil Yeovil 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

Yeovil 1-2 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
1-2
AWAY Sutton United
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Passes 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United nicked a narrow win over Yeovil 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Sutton United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yeovil had 51% of the ball to Sutton United's 49%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yeovil and 1.40 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Sutton United?

Yeovil 1-2 Sutton United in the England - National League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 35%, draw 30%, Sutton United 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sutton United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sutton United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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