AFC Hornchurch 1-0 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Sep 2025

📅02/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.97
Over
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.38
2-3
34%
1.74
4-5
29%
3.13
6+
10%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers The Market 40%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.38/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.37
-2% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2025 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 0-1 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
05.10.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
1-0
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch squeezed past Dorking Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Hornchurch as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 49% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 51%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AFC Hornchurch and 2.00 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Dorking Wanderers?

AFC Hornchurch 1-0 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 02/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 41%, draw 25%, Dorking Wanderers 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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