Dorking Wanderers 3-1 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.07
Over 2.5
62%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.7pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.23/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.99
+35% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
3-1
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers saw off AFC Hornchurch 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 60% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 40%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Hornchurch?

Dorking Wanderers 3-1 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 42%, draw 25%, AFC Hornchurch 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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