Chelmsford City 4-2 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 36% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.8pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +4%
1.55/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.20
-13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
398 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-3 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
28.08.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
04.03.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
29.10.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 5-0 HT 2-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
12.03.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
06.11.2021 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-1 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
4-2
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City beat Eastbourne Borough 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelmsford City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 46% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 54%, shots finished 7-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chelmsford City and 0.83 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Eastbourne Borough?

Chelmsford City 4-2 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 49%, draw 24%, Eastbourne Borough 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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