St. Albans City 3-4 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 32%
-23% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.38/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.50
-9% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
3-4
AWAY Salisbury
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury edged past St. Albans City 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Salisbury found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Albans City had 67% of the ball to Salisbury's 33%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Salisbury?

St. Albans City 3-4 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 41%, draw 23%, Salisbury 36%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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