Leamington 1-1 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.92 — our 22% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leamington EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.55/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.34
+17% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leamington
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 4-1 HT 2-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
05.11.2022 Leamington Leamington 1-1 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leamington
1-1
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leamington vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leamington and Scarborough Athletic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Leamington had 39% of the ball to Scarborough Athletic's 61%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Scarborough Athletic led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leamington and 2.50 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Leamington vs Scarborough Athletic?

Leamington 1-1 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leamington vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leamington win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Leamington 35%, draw 31%, Scarborough Athletic 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/31/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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