Farnborough 2-0 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.06/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.12
+12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
482 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Aveley
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 3-1 HT 2-1 Aveley Aveley İCON
02.12.2023 Aveley Aveley 3-4 HT 1-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
2-0
AWAY Aveley
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough saw off Aveley 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Farnborough as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farnborough had 49% of the ball to Aveley's 51%, shots finished 13-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Farnborough had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Farnborough and 2.00 for Aveley.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Aveley?

Farnborough 2-0 Aveley in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 49%, draw 25%, Aveley 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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