Eastbourne Borough 0-3 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 26% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.45/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.29
+12% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
04.03.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
29.10.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 5-0 HT 2-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
12.03.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
06.11.2021 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-1 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
17.10.2020 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-1 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
0-3
AWAY Chelmsford City
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City swept aside Eastbourne Borough 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelmsford City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 53% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 47%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 1.67 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Chelmsford City?

Eastbourne Borough 0-3 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 32%, draw 27%, Chelmsford City 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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