Preston North End 3-0 Watford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 2 Oct 2024

Preston North End
3-0 HT 0-0
Watford
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Preston North End vs Watford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 27% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.5
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
10%
13.05
X/1
13%
5.24
X/2
9%
5.8
X/X
9%
4.48
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.03
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preston North End v Watford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.11/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.20
-1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 68%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
19.9 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Preston North End vs Watford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Watford
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
242 Passes 380
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Watford Watford 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
16.12.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 1-5 HT 1-1 Watford Watford İNCL
04.03.2023 Watford Watford 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
20.08.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 0-0 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNCL
16.02.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 0-1 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNCL
28.11.2020 Watford Watford 4-1 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL

Preston North End 3-0 Watford — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
3-0
AWAY Watford
2.89 xG 1.43
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
234 Passes 344
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Watford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End swept aside Watford 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Preston North End made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Preston North End had 44% of the ball to Watford's 56%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.89 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Watford led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Preston North End and 1.67 for Watford.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Watford?

Preston North End 3-0 Watford in the England - Championship on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Watford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 39%, draw 28%, Watford 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preston North End) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Preston North End) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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