Sheffield United 1-0 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.29
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
11%
4.07
X/2
10%
8.92
X/X
11%
5.08
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
10%
6.77
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.77/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.67
+6% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 79%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
22.5 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Swansea City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.27 xG 0.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
319 Passes 421
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 3-0 HT 2-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
13.09.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
19.02.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 4-0 HT 3-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
14.08.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 0-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
19.01.2019 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
04.08.2018 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-2 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
1-0
AWAY Swansea City
1.72 xG 0.95
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
216 Passes 486
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United nicked a narrow win over Swansea City 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sheffield United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sheffield United had 34% of the ball to Swansea City's 66%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.72 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sheffield United and 0.50 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Swansea City?

Sheffield United 1-0 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 48%, draw 24%, Swansea City 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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