Al Hussein 2-1 Al Kuwait — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.75
No
65%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.74
6+ Goals
5%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 37% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
53%
-18.4pp
65%
BTTS No
47%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hussein EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kuwait EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hussein
2-1
AWAY Al Kuwait
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Hussein vs Al Kuwait
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hussein nicked a narrow win over Al Kuwait 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Al Hussein made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Hussein had 52% of the ball to Al Kuwait's 48%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Al Hussein vs Al Kuwait?

Al Hussein 2-1 Al Kuwait in the AFCŞL2 on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hussein vs Al Kuwait?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hussein win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Hussein 36%, draw 28%, Al Kuwait 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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