Al Taawon 1-2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 35% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
323 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
1-2
AWAY Al Quwa Al Jawiya
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quwa Al Jawiya nicked a narrow win over Al Taawon 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Taawon at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Taawon had 63% of the ball to Al Quwa Al Jawiya's 37%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?

Al Taawon 1-2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the AFCŞL2 on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 53%, draw 24%, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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