Mekelakeya 3-1 Welayta Dicha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 25%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.00/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelakeya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Welayta Dicha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
28.03.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 1-0 HT 1-0 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
3-1
AWAY Welayta Dicha
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya beat Welayta Dicha 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 26% — and on the day Mekelakeya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 56% of the ball to Welayta Dicha's 44%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha?

Mekelakeya 3-1 Welayta Dicha in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Welayta Dicha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 40%, draw 33%, Welayta Dicha 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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