Ethiopia Bunna 3-1 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
37%
3.28
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.1pp
37%
Draw
27%
+10.1pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.28/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.44
+26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
05.04.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 3-2 HT 2-0 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
05.01.2024 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 1-2 HT 0-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
3-1
AWAY Awassa Kenema
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna saw off Awassa Kenema 3-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 37% / 25%) promised a tight game; Ethiopia Bunna found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 49% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 51%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Bunna had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ethiopia Bunna and 1.50 for Awassa Kenema.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Awassa Kenema?

Ethiopia Bunna 3-1 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 38%, draw 37%, Awassa Kenema 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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