Auda 1-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
76%
-16.3pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.9pp
20%
Away Win
8%
+11.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.1pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -7%
1.62/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.48
-32% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -20%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
457 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 71%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
21.1 Crosses 11.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.41 xG 0.92
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
461 Passes 232
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-4 HT 0-2 Auda Auda LET
21.04.2024 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
05.11.2023 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
12.08.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
06.06.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 1-2 Auda Auda LET
24.04.2023 Auda Auda 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
1-1
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.73 xG 0.50
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
531 Passes 207
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
49 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Auda vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda and FK Tukums 2000 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Auda carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Auda had 68% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 32%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.73 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Auda and 1.33 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Auda vs FK Tukums 2000?

Auda 1-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Auda 59%, draw 21%, FK Tukums 2000 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Auda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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