Macarthur vs Beijing Guoan Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macarthur v Beijing Guoan — Team-Based Signals
Macarthur 3-0 Beijing Guoan — Actual Match Statistics
Macarthur ran out comfortable winners over Beijing Guoan 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Macarthur as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.
On the day, Macarthur had 30% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 70%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.54 to 0.32.
What was the final score of Macarthur vs Beijing Guoan?
Macarthur 3-0 Beijing Guoan in the AFCŞL2 on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Beijing Guoan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macarthur win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 50%, draw 22%, Beijing Guoan 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macarthur), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.