Ratchaburi 0-2 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 2 Oct 2025

📅02/10/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
15%
4.49
Away Pick
64%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.38
Over
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.65
2-3
41%
1.89
4-5
25%
2.67
6+
13%
6.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.65 — our 21% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
46%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Gamba Osaka win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.1pp
15%
Draw
19%
-4.1pp
64%
Away Win
64%
+0.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
0-2
AWAY Gamba Osaka
0.51 xG 0.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
313 Passes 530
84% Pass Accuracy 92%
13 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka got the better of Ratchaburi 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gamba Osaka as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 40% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 60%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.51 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Gamba Osaka?

Ratchaburi 0-2 Gamba Osaka in the AFCŞL2 on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 21%, draw 15%, Gamba Osaka 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gamba Osaka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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