Tampines Rovers 2-1 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 2 Oct 2025

📅02/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.21
Over
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.19
2-3
37%
1.84
4-5
28%
2.81
6+
11%
8.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.6pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampines Rovers EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 48%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+143% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampines Rovers
0W-2D-0L
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.05.2025 Tampines Rovers Tampines Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United SİNK
16.04.2025 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 1-1 HT 1-1 Tampines Rovers Tampines Rovers SİNK
POST-MATCH Tampines Rovers vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tampines Rovers edged past BG Pathum United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was BG Pathum United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tampines Rovers and 1.50 for BG Pathum United.

What was the final score of Tampines Rovers vs BG Pathum United?

Tampines Rovers 2-1 BG Pathum United in the AFCŞL2 on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampines Rovers vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tampines Rovers 27%, draw 29%, BG Pathum United 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BG Pathum United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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