Mosta 3-4 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 2 Oct 2025

Mosta
3-4 HT 1-2
Gzira United
📅02/10/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Malta - Premier League – 2025/2026

Mosta vs Gzira United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mosta v Gzira United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
1.52/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.49
+63% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Mosta vs Gzira United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gzira United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.08.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 2-0 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
17.03.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 2-1 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
26.11.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
01.04.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 1-2 HT 1-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
04.11.2022 Mosta Mosta 0-2 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
27.02.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 3-4 HT 3-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP

Mosta 3-4 Gzira United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
3-4
AWAY Gzira United
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United edged past Mosta 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Gzira United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mosta had 51% of the ball to Gzira United's 49%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gzira United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mosta and 2.17 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Gzira United?

Mosta 3-4 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mosta 30%, draw 31%, Gzira United 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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