Gzira United 2-0 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-12.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
19%
+13.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 22%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.64/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.72
+22% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mosta
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 2-1 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
26.11.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
01.04.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 1-2 HT 1-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
04.11.2022 Mosta Mosta 0-2 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
27.02.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 3-4 HT 3-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
20.11.2021 Mosta Mosta 2-2 HT 1-2 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
2-0
AWAY Mosta
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United beat Mosta 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gzira United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gzira United had 57% of the ball to Mosta's 43%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gzira United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gzira United and 1.50 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Mosta?

Gzira United 2-0 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 43%, draw 23%, Mosta 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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