Balzan FC 2-0 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.5pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.90/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.00
-3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balzan FC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
05.11.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balzan FC
2-0
AWAY Naxxar Lions
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Balzan FC vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balzan FC beat Naxxar Lions 2-0.

Our pre-match split (42% / 21% / 37%) promised a tight game; Balzan FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Balzan FC had 47% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 53%, shots finished 3-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naxxar Lions led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Balzan FC and 1.50 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Balzan FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Balzan FC 2-0 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balzan FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Balzan FC 42%, draw 21%, Naxxar Lions 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Balzan FC) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✗ BTTS Yes
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