Marsaxlokk FC 0-2 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 29 Aug 2024

Marsaxlokk FC
0-2 HT 0-1
Birkirkara
📅29/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Malta - Premier League – 2024/2025

Marsaxlokk FC vs Birkirkara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.71
Over 2.5
33%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.4pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.4pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
55%
+12.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
45%
-12.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.5pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marsaxlokk FC v Birkirkara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 37%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.56/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.79
-53% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Marsaxlokk FC vs Birkirkara Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Birkirkara
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
04.11.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-2 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
30.04.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTAK
05.03.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
23.10.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP

Marsaxlokk FC 0-2 Birkirkara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
0-2
AWAY Birkirkara
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara beat Marsaxlokk FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Birkirkara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 58% of the ball to Birkirkara's 42%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 0.60 for Birkirkara.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Birkirkara?

Marsaxlokk FC 0-2 Birkirkara in the Malta - Premier League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 36%, draw 34%, Birkirkara 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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