Thanh Hoa 1-1 Binh Duong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 2 Oct 2025

📅02/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.35/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.11
-4% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thanh Hoa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Binh Duong
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2025 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-0 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
14.09.2024 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 1-2 HT 1-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
12.05.2024 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 3-2 HT 1-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
22.12.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-0 HT 0-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
01.06.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-1 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
09.11.2022 Binh Duong Binh Duong 4-2 HT 0-1 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
POST-MATCH Thanh Hoa vs Binh Duong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thanh Hoa and Binh Duong shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Thanh Hoa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Binh Duong led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Thanh Hoa and 1.83 for Binh Duong.

What was the final score of Thanh Hoa vs Binh Duong?

Thanh Hoa 1-1 Binh Duong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thanh Hoa vs Binh Duong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thanh Hoa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Thanh Hoa 43%, draw 29%, Binh Duong 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thanh Hoa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thanh Hoa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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VİET More Vietnam - V-League 1
2 Oct 2025
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