AFC Sudbury 1-0 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.65/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.57
+6% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Alvechurch
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury nicked a narrow win over Alvechurch 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Sudbury as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alvechurch led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for AFC Sudbury and 1.00 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Alvechurch?

AFC Sudbury 1-0 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Sudbury win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 43%, draw 29%, Alvechurch 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Sudbury), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Sudbury) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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