Leiston 1-1 Stamford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.4pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stamford EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.62/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.61
+4% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
330 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Stamford
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
23.03.2024 Stamford Stamford 3-0 HT 1-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
25.11.2023 Leiston Leiston 3-2 HT 1-2 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Stamford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston and Stamford couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leiston and 2.50 for Stamford.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Stamford?

Leiston 1-1 Stamford in the England - Non League Premier on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Stamford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Leiston 41%, draw 23%, Stamford 36%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leiston)
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