Macclesfield 5-1 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
2.43/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.61
+18% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macclesfield
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Lancaster City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
8 Corners 8
06.01.2024 Macclesfield Macclesfield 1-2 HT 0-2 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
22.08.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 3-0 HT 1-0 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield swept aside Lancaster City 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Macclesfield as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lancaster City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Macclesfield and 2.50 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Lancaster City?

Macclesfield 5-1 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 59%, draw 22%, Lancaster City 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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