Macclesfield 1-2 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.64/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.64
+27% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
459 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macclesfield
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lancaster City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
8 Corners 8
22.08.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 3-0 HT 1-0 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City squeezed past Macclesfield 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Macclesfield carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Lancaster City?

Macclesfield 1-2 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 57%, draw 22%, Lancaster City 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Macclesfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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