02/11/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.95
— our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Over 2.5
★★
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
25%
Draw
21%
21%
Away Win
18%
48%
Under 2.5
38%
52%
Over 2.5
62%
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
50%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elfsborg v Vasteras SK FK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Elfsborg
EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vasteras SK FK
EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% /
-7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-21% /
-21%
2.06/0.90
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.81/1.34
+8%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-35%
/
-29%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
387 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 78%
30.7
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.2
23.0
Crosses
19.6
1.7
Yellow Cards
1.5
Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Elfsborg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Vasteras SK FK
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
0.68
xG
1.34
46%
Ball Possession
54%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
1
1
Corners
3
368
Passes
437
80%
Pass Accuracy
81%
28
Box Touches
39
15
Crosses
21
3
Yellow Cards
0
The Meetings
Elfsborg 1-0 Vasteras SK FK — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Elfsborg
1-0
AWAY
Vasteras SK FK
1.21
xG
0.65
38%
Ball Possession
62%
17
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
9
302
Passes
525
79%
Pass Accuracy
85%
31
Box Touches
19
16
Crosses
19
1
Yellow Cards
0
FAQ
Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Elfsborg edged past Vasteras SK FK 1-0 in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 2 Nov 2024.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Elfsborg had 38% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 62%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.21 to 0.65.
What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK?
Elfsborg 1-0 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 53%, draw 25%, Vasteras SK FK 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Elfsborg)
✗ Over 2.5
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İSÇ
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2 Nov 2024