Hammarby 2-2 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 2 Nov 2024

Hammarby
2-2 HT 2-0
Malmö FF
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Hammarby vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
14%
3.99
X/2
7%
9.9
X/X
13%
5.6
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
16%
7.37
2/X
8%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-13.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hammarby v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.64/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.19
+16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
455 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
22.6 Crosses 17.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Hammarby vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 1.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
432 Passes 417
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
17.09.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 1-3 HT 0-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
30.04.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 4-2 HT 3-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
01.10.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
26.05.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
02.05.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ

Hammarby 2-2 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
2-2
AWAY Malmö FF
2.30 xG 1.09
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
472 Passes 261
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby and Malmö FF shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hammarby had 62% of the ball to Malmö FF's 38%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.30 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hammarby and 1.50 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Malmö FF?

Hammarby 2-2 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 43%, draw 29%, Malmö FF 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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